Groves v Smith… Who Wins And How?

Who’s idea was it to have an all-British domestic dust up in the King Abdullah Sports Stadium, Saudi Arabia? Even King Abdullah himself must realise Jeddah is not an equal distance between Liverpool and London. 

George Groves and Callum Smith meet this Friday in their delayed World Boxing Super Series super-middleweight final, in what promises to be an intriguing fight.

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It’s annoying, though hardly surprising, this contest is deemed yet another Pay Per View offering. Pretty much the only bouts not slapped with an extra charge these days are those dour NextGen shows – and whoever Lawrence Okolie is cuddling next.

But, if there’s one fighter I don’t mind paying to watch,  it’s George Groves.

I have to nail my colours to the mast here and declare myself a huge fan of the Londoner.

He has thoroughly entertained in and out of the ring over the last decade.

The Hammersmith man is exciting to watch, game as a pebble and deserves to be where he is right now. That’s at the pinnacle of his profession, not fighting in Saudi Arabia.

A world champion at the third time of asking, Groves has been involved in some memorable fights – and some top level trash talk.

Who can forget the mind games Groves deployed on James DeGale in the build up to their British title fight back in 2011?

DeGale: “Come and fight me George, There’s NO WAY you can outbox me.”

Groves: “Well, what’s your problem with me trying to do it then?”

DeGale:…..

We’ll long remember how he got under (and stayed under) Carl Froch’s skin.

And what about that beautifully timed right hand Froch walked on to in the first round of their first fight? And Round six, when he threw everything at Froch, and connected with just about everything. Credit to Froch, he took one hell of a beating and still came through. James DeGale’s trainer Jim McDonnell once labelled Froch as “Just a tough kid from Nottingham.” Well, he was a bit more than that.

The Cobra will never ever admit it, but I feel he owes a huge debt of gratitude to Groves. As much skill as you have, you still need a nemesis in boxing, a rivalry,  a defining fight,  something that ignites the public’s interest – and boy, he got all that and more in George Groves.

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‘The Saint’ initiated and marketed the rematch almost single-handedly, ultimately providing the Nottingham man his legacy – that over worn Wembley anecdote and more than enough money in the bank to buy half of Nottingham, which I think he’s actually done.

Naturally I favour Groves to win this final, assuming his shoulder is fully healed.

Callum Smith has long been held in high regard, widely recognised as the best of the batch of boxing brothers, but I feel his career has stagnated over the last couple of years.

At the age of 28 (just two years younger than Groves) his first world title fight seems a long time coming. This will be Groves’ seventh title fight, so it goes without saying Groves holds a huge advantage in terms of experience.

I believe Groves is much the better boxer of the two, and that if this fight goes the distance he will have too much nous for his opponent . The Londoner’s pugilistic skills are often overlooked as he has a tendency to trade with his opponents when the mood suits.

Groves has proved in the past that he has the discipline – and boxing skills – to execute a game plan. Let’s not forget he outboxed Degale, an Olympic gold medalist, and completely nullified a dangerous fighter in Chris Eubank. In fact, he made him look like a complete novice.

Smith can hit hard, as he demonstrated when knocking out Rocky Fielding inside a round, his best performance to date. Often he seems to switch off against inferior opposition. George Groves is far from inferior opposition.

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In this tournament Smith is yet to hit the heights. Erik Skoglund landed his jab with alarming regularity in their quarter final and in the semi Smith looked far from the polished world class performer everyone in his extended family would have you believe he is.

The challenger is a huge unit, an upright huge unit. That has advantages in terms of reach and disadvantages in terms of being a BIG target.

We all know Groves’s hits hard…we will see how Smith’s chin absorbs that power, because he will be hit with something that is way harder than anything he has experienced to date.

Against 34 year-old Dutch kick boxer, Nieky Holzken, a man with just 13 professional fights to his name, Smith plodded to victory in wholly unimpressive fashion.

Groves is a massive step up in class on those two previous opponents.

Groves on points looks the way to go here. We recommend buying Groves at 60 on the Spreadex binary market. It makes up at 100 for a Groves win and 0 if he doesn’t.

On the fixed odds market Spreadex have Groves at 8-13 to win and 13-8 to win on points.

As always, please only bet what you can afford

 

 

 

 

 

THE TWO BEST BETS OF THE WEEKEND

THERE’S an action packed weekend of sport to watch this weekend and what better way is there to relax than to have a bet on the proceedings whilst polishing off the remnants of last night’s Chinese takeaway.

Having sat through Monday night’s football (Huddersfield v Fulham) I was struck by two thoughts.

The first being, I will never waste my time watching either of theses two teams again and the second, to back WHATEVER opposition they are playing in their next match.

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Liverpool are at home to Fulham on Sunday with the Cottagers priced at a whopping 33-1 on the fixed odds coupons. The boutique club from west London were that bad on Monday that I wouldn’t even fancy them with another zero added to the price.

Huddersfield weren’t much better and having sat through an appalling spectacle of football it was quite easy to see how they’d gone 659 minutes without scoring a goal at home. The definition of a ‘diehard’ fan is anyone with a Huddersfield season ticket.

Meanwhile, Fulham have now equalled a Premier League record by conceding 29 goals in their opening 11 games. There are two obvious problems with the way they are playing. They look terrible going forward and even worse in defence.

Let’s not over complicate the matter. Both teams are short on confidence – with good reason –  and will be relegated unless taking drastic action in January.

Big Sam is on standby.

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Liverpool are not worth backing at short odds on the fixed odds coupons.
At Spreadex though there’s an interesting market worth a nibble in the ‘Name It’ section.
You can back Liverpool to be leading at half-time and Fulham to score zero goals.
It’s difficult to see past such an outcome and with the market making up at 100, a buy at 45.5 is advised. You could make 54.5 times your stake if the wager comes home to roost.

You can get up to £300 cashback with Spreadex by using this link and opening an account.

Huddersfield entertain (if that’s the right word) West Ham on Saturday.
The Hammers can rarely be trusted, particularly away from home, but after a tough opening fixture list there are signs of improvement under the stewardship of Manuel Pellegrini.

Victories over Man Utd, Everton and a draw against Chelsea were good results.
A point away at Leicester wasn’t too shabby either considering the Hammers played most of the match with 10 men. They have the firepower up front to cause anyone problems as demonstrated in their last match against Burnley, when they ran out 4-2 winners.

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Huddersfield will be without the suspended Phillip Billing, one of their few bright sparks this season.

Take the Hammers to win the match at 43.5.

Victory for the visitors would see you win 56.5 times your stake.

As always, only bet what you an afford.

BACK THE BOKS!

THEY say patriotism is a passport to poverty and that’s very much the case for any Englishman daft enough to bet on England to beat South Africa this weekend at Twickenham.

With just 10 months until the World Cup in Japan the autumn internationals should provide us some lively hints as to which country has the best chance of playing New Zealand in the final.

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England are not in great shape going into the game.

Eddie Jones had a virtually dream first 24 months in the job and after that everything has pretty much gone the shape of a badly decaying pear.

The team that Jones will put out against South Africa will start as favourites although I’m not sure why. The South Africans have beaten England twice this year already and the squad England will field today is vastly more inexperienced than the two who ended up on the losing side earlier.

England’s back row has just 10 caps between them and they will face a back row who are two stone heavier PER MAN than England’s.

The Boks have beaten New Zealand and Australia in their last three games, as well as narrrowly losing to the All Blacks in Pretoria. That’s top class form.

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Unfortunately for the tourists this match falls outside the international window so they will be without their Europe-based stars like Willie le Roux, Faf de Klerk and Francois Louw. Had they been available South Africa would be mortgage jobs. On Saturday, they are merely a bloody good bet.

Watch out for the hugely talented full-back Damian Willemse who will start in the absence of Wasps’ Willie le Roux. This kid is destined to be a major star for many years to come.

We recommend two spread bets with our preferred betting partner Spreadex.

We advise SELLING England at 54.5 in the binary match market. The market settles at 100 to the team that wins the match.

and BUYING Damian Willemse’s try minutes at 11. (If a player scores in the 30th and 70th minute the market makes up at 100.

As always, good luck and only bet what you an afford.

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Best Boxing Bet Of The Night

Anthony Joshua v Alexander Povetkin is not really the heavyweight fight the public wanted.

Don’t get me wrong, there’s nothing amiss with the Russian’s credentials as a serious title challenger.

He’s won 34 of 35 fights, with the only loss coming by way of a one sided points decision at the hands of the decidedly useful Wladimir Klitschko.

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The Russian, who looks like a James Bond villain, has 24 KOs on his CV and must be regarded as a live challenger.

Then again, Povetkin is fairly small for a heavyweight at 6’2”, brings nothing in the way of razzmatazz, has failed two drugs tests and is firmly in the autumn of his career at 39 years of age.
What the public really wanted was to see AJ fight either Deontay Wilder or Tyson Fury.
The best fighting the best.
Predictably, both Wilder and AJ camps blame the other for not making the fight.
My own feeling is that Joshua’s promoter Eddie Hearn doesn’t to take the risk.
He has the golden goose in Joshua who lays golden eggs.
A boxer who sells out football stadiums and racks up PPVs whether he’s fighting a Carlos Takam or an Alexander Povetkin
Why risk all against a concussive puncher like Wilder?
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Scouse scrapper David Price had Povetkin in serious trouble before his jaw was (predictably)  exposed by the Russian. There was evidence enough to suggest that when AJ lands his power punches Povetkin isn’t going to be able to withstand those shots.
I expect AJ to show the challenger respect for the first couple of rounds, working behind his jab, before he unleashes the heavy artillery that will finish his foe somewhere around the mid rounds.
From a betting perspective the most interesting fight of the night is the rematch between Luke Campbell and Yvan Mendy in their WBC lightweight title eliminator.
Mendy upset the odds when handing Campbell his first defeat as a professional via a split decision in December 2015.
Mendy had Campbell on the canvas in the fist fight and has won his seven fights since.
The odds on a Campbell win at 1-5 look more than a tad disrespectful.
But, I think Campbell will win and almost certainly on points.
Even in his losing effort last time Campbell still won on one judge’s card.

Under the guidance of new coach Shane McGuigan expect to see an improved performance and a comprehensive win on the cards for Campbell.

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The Frenchman has never been stopped in his career, not even for speeding.
I’ll be buying Campbell’s performance at 83.4 with Spreadex, our preferred spread betting partner.
You should get 16.6 times your stake – which is not bad for a night’s work, especially since you’re not even doing the work.
As ever, only bet what you can afford.

Champions League Bet Of The Day PLUS free £25 bet…

Liverpool v PSG is a mouthwatering match to kick off this year’s Champions League fare.

Two of the top attacking forces in Europe collide at Anfield with Liverpool surprisingly short in the betting.

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I would not want to be backing the home team at a shade over even money against an attack of Cavani, Mbappe and Neymar.

Playing at home is a massive advantage, of course, but seeing PSG at 5-2 in the fixed odds betting is a surprise. Liverpool are widely available at 12s in the outright market with PSG third favourites, best priced at 8-1.

Goals must be on the menu tonight with PSG having scored at least three in all six wins so far this season.

Liverpool looked vulnerable against Spurs and Leicester in their last two games, conceding on both occasions.

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Neymar and Mbappe didn’t play at the weekend with the former rested and the latter suspended so both should have their batteries fully charged.

We recommend a SELL of Liverpool to win the match at 44.4 with Spreadex, our preferred betting partner. If PSG WIN or draw, the market makes up at 0 and you win 44.4 times your stake.

As always, bet only what you can afford.

 

STAT ATTACK

 

  • Liverpool have faced Paris Saint-Germain only twice before – over two legs in the semi-final of the 1996/97 Cup Winners’ Cup. Both sides have one victory each, but PSG managed to progress on aggregate (3-2).
  • This will be Liverpool’s first meeting in the Champions League with a side from France since the 2009/10 campaign, when the Reds lost 1-2 in Lyon before drawing 1-1 at Anfield in the group stages.
  • Liverpool have won seven of their 12 previous European Cup/Champions League matches against French opposition (D1 L4) but have lost two of the last three such games at home (W1).
  • PSG are winless in their last four Champions League matches against English sides (D3 L1) and have only kept one clean sheet in their previous 12 such games, a 0-0 draw at Stamford Bridge during the 2004/05 group stages.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Canelo v GGG betting preview

GGGThe first thing worth saying is that I wouldn’t want to have a large lump of money on the outcome of this superfight.

You can make a case for just about every outcome with the possible exception of Canelo knocking out Golovkin. That man has a jaw made of re-enforced iron.
The second thing worth mentioning is the fact that there are potentially EIGHT pay-per-view cards from September through to December. This would cost the average boxing fan around £150.

Joshua v Povetkin
Usyk v Bellew
Khan v Brook
Whyte v Chisora
Groves v Smith
Wilder v Fury
Warrington v Frampton
Canelo v Golovkin

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Back to the fight tonight and I had Golovkin the clear winner on my scorecard in the first fight.

Adelaide Byrd’s scores were laughable, giving Canelo the fight by eight rounds.
It made a mockery of the sport, not for the first time and a solid reason why
you don’t want too much money resting on an outcome left to the judges.

Because to the judges it will surely go. Golovkin’s chin is carved from granite whilst Canelo is the better mover and almost as durable.

In the first fight Golovkin could have worked his opponent’s body more.
Canelo’s workrate dropped in the middle rounds but he finished strongly.
I tend to side with the better boxer over the bigger puncher and that’s why I can see Canelo winning on points.

Golovkin is 36 now and there aren’t many fighters improving at that age.
Canelo looks in tremendous shape. He has the nous to box and move this time around.

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I think he learnt from the first fight that there’s no point loading up on power shots because he hit Golovkin with a brutal shot in the first fight and it hardly registered. Golovkin’s head twisted back and then snapped back in place as he resumed his work as if nothing had happened.

If Canelo boxes, moves and frustrates his opponent I can see a similar outcome to the Hagler v Leonard fight all those years ago. Leonard’s eye catching faster, flashier combinations caught the eye and he stole a victory on points.
I shall be selling Golovkin’s performance at 20.5 with Spreadex’s performance index. The market makes up at 50 for a Golovkin win by KO, TKO or DQ, 25 if Golovkin wins on points and 10 for a draw.

Click here for a free £25 bet 
GGG
Alavarez is 15-8 to win on points with Spreadex on the fixed odds market.
Good luck – and remember, only bet what you can afford.

Strong Fancy For Saturday

If anyone is looking to back England to win Euro 2020 after what they witnessed in their last two matches, here’s the website you need: Gamcare.org.uk.

International weeks have always been a blot on the landscape; now we have to put up with weak internationals too. But we’re back to the bread and butter of the Premier League this weekend and it’s time to make some money on the spreads.

I’m always at a loss what to do on weekends without Premier League football. It’s a bit like that awkward, embarrassing moment before sex, you know, just before you hand over the money.

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Normality is restored and so too is the opportunity to make a bit of extra cash, which is handy because herding supermarket trolleys isn’t paying as well as I initially thought.

There’s one standout bet for me in the Premier League this week – and it’s Leicester City.

That’s a sentence I haven’t uttered often, not even during the season when Leicester won the Premier League.

How the hell that happened, I’ll never know.There’s more chance of someone explaining to me the reason why blokes cut out a piece of their ear lobes and replace it with a hollow black plastic ring.

Anyway, back to the bet of the day.

I was amazed at how well the Foxes performed against Liverpool in their last outing.

For large spells of the game they dominated possession, they passed, they pressed and they sure as hell impressed.

It’s been a long time since anyone outplayed and outpressed Liverpool.

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Liverpool’s defence is much improved this season, they haven’t conceded a home goal since February but they were severely under the cosh at the King Power.

If the Foxes had the cutting thrust of Jamie Vardy at the forefront of their attack, then the outcome could easily have been different.

Click here to bet on Leicester

The Foxes are away at Bournemouth this weekend. The Cherries have started the season pretty well and currently six sixth in the table. That position flatters them given both of their victories to date were against two of the poorest teams in the Premier League, Cardiff and West Ham.

Bournemouth are the favourites with the bookies and that suits Leicester backers. The Foxes are well worth a buy at 33.4 with Spreadex.com, our preferred spread betting partner.

A Leicester win will return a sizeable profit (around 66 times your stake) but, as ever, please bet responsibly – and only bet what you can afford.

On the fixed odds coupon Leicester are BIG at 2-1, with Bournemouth 13-10 favourites.

The bookies have these odds the wrong way round in my humble opinion, so either buy Leicester, sell Bournemouth – just don’t blame me if it all goes wrong.

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Click here to bet on Leicester