The ‘Must Have’ Midweek Spread Bet

WHERE is the best midweek value bet in the Premier League I hear you ask…

It was a weekend which saw Chelsea, Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester United drop points in the title race, a title race that saw Manchester City slip 11 points clear of the pack.

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Start engraving the trophy now. The rest of the ‘Big Six’ are fighting for a spot in the top four.

Chelsea (2-5), Spurs (1-4), Liverpool (2-9) and Man United (2-7) are all priced up at prohibitive odds as they take on Premier League fodder in Huddersfield, Brighton, West Brom and Bournemouth.

It’d be a shock if any of the above fail to win but I feel the best value of all the midweek matches may well lie with Arsenal, who are  very reasonably priced at 4-6 to beat West Ham in the fixed odds betting.

The Hammers have shown enormous improvement under David Moyes, notably their narrow defeat to Champions elect, City and a hard fought victory over Chelsea at the weekend.

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Arsenal were admittedly disappointing this weekend against Southampton, however against Man United the weekend before I thought they were sensational going forward, carving out an incredible 33 shots on goal. They may have lost 1-3, but for the brilliance of David De Gea and some terrible individual errors in their own backline, things could have turned out differently.

I feel the Gunners will soon put in the sort of performance on the road that they did at Goodison Park, where they put five past Everton.  West Ham could well  bear the brunt of the backlash for Arsenal’s disappointing performance against Southampton.

Given that the Gunners look far from secure at the back, the bet to exploit looks like the ‘over/under 2.5 goals market’.

Spreadex go 52.3-60 in this market. The market makes up at 100, meaning that if you buy at 60 you can make 40 times your stake. Conversely you can also lose 60 times your stake so make sure you only bet what you can afford.

I can see goals in this one, particularly if Arsenal score first as it will mean West Ham will be forced to commit players forward and leave themselves vulnerable to Arsenal’s quick-fire, precise passing counter attacks.

 

TOFFEES TO COME UNSTUCK

EVERTON’S 4-0 thrashing of West Ham has given new manager Sam Allardyce food for thought, which could be a problem for Sam, he’s getting more than enough food already.

Wayne Rooney may have stolen the headlines with a hat-trick and a quite exquisite goal from inside his own half but it’s worth bearing in mind he won’t be able to rely on the assists of Joe Hart every week.

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Hart’s career seems to be in steep decline (he’s at West Ham for goodness sake), at least he’s got those dandruff commercials to fall back on. The England stopper has been off form for at least two years – anyone remember Euro 2016?).

It’s shocking to recall the amount of stick Pep Guardiola copped from the British press for having the audacity to drop him. Who knows? Maybe, just maybe Pep, with his 22 trophies as a manager, knows a little bit more about football than the tabloid hacks of this country.

Everton were flattered somewhat by their 4-0 scoreline. West Ham were absolutely dreadful – and I speak as a long suffering West Ham fan. Even with their all-round ineptitude the Hammers did have a spell early in the second half where they threatened to overwhelm Everton. If Manuel Lanzini had converted his penalty to bring the score back to 2-1 perhaps things could have ended differently.

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My point is that Everton are still far away from being a good team and that one swallow doesn’t make a summer, it merely makes for a very good evening.

I feel there may well be some value in backing Huddersfield to get something from Goodison Park.

On the face of it, betting on a team who lost 5-0 last time against a team who won their last match 4-0 does not reek of logic. But then again the whims and ways of Premier League football make little sense most of the time.

I recommend a sell of Everton’s goal supremacy at 0.7 with our preferred spread betting company Spreadex.

Make sure you only bet what you can afford.

Hazlewood to take the wickets

THE fact that Ben Stokes isn’t in Australia could have a massive bearing on the destination of the little urn. The red-headed all-rounder is a brilliant batsman, fielder and a more than useful bowler.

He is expected to fly out at some point but will the series be effectively over by the time he pitches up?

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The first Test will be crucial and, unsurprisingly, the hosts have a fine record at The Gabba.

In fact, they haven’t lost in Brisbane since the 1980s, with 13 wins and two draws in the last 15 matches. There’s a reason why the Aussies have picked this venue for the first Test – it’s because they expect to win here.

But all does not seem well in the Aussie camp. The selectors have copped flak for picking Shaun Marsh and wicket keeper Tim Paine, who couldn’t even get in the Tasmania side earlier in the season.

Australia do have two world class batsmen in David Warner and skipper Steve Smith but you can counter that with England’s proven pair in Alastair Cook and Joe Root.

With draws being less common in Test cricket these days it seems as though one team will be one to the good at the end of the first five days.

The difference between the two teams in the series could be bowler Josh Hazlewood, whose accuracy has drawn comparisons with Aussie legend Glenn McGrath.

Nathan Lyon explained why Hazelwood is Australia’s best bowler:

“He can swing the new ball in and out, he can seam it, he can bowl fast, he can bowl a nice bouncer, he can reverse an old ball,” said Lyon. “His consistency, the pace he bowls at and the way he controls the game is incredible. In my book he’s the No1 bowler in the world.”

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Pat Cummins is injury prone whilst Mitchell Starc, probably the quickest of the trio, can be wayward.

Over the course of the five Tests we expect Hazlewood to take the most wickets for his country.

We suggest buying Hazlewood’s series bowling performance at 265 with our preferred spread betting firm, Spreadex. .That’s 10 points per wicket taken plus 25 points for a five-wicket haul in an innings.

There would seem to be little downside to this bet and if Australia’s best bowler lives up to his tag it should prove to be a very profitable trade.

As always, only bet what you can afford.

Good luck!

Late goals for Jose…

 

THE rivalry between Jose Mourinho and Rafa Benitez has been thoroughly amusing to watch over the years.

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Rafa Benitez raised eyebrows when he decided to take a coaching role at the Toon with offers from the likes of Inter Milan and the people at Go Compare on the table.
Rafa would love to frustrate Jose on Saturday evening but even a miracle worker would have trouble organising Newcastle to leave the Theatre Of Dreams with anything other than a mild spanking.
Man United have lost two of their last six games and only scored seven times in those matches. The loss to Chelsea was one thing but the defeat to Huddersfield was, simply, embarrassing for a club that has such an expensively assembled squad.
The question: ‘Is it really worth backing the Red Devils at short odds to see off a defensively-minded Newcastle?’
The Old Trafford outfit have struggled to cope with the loss of Paul Pogba but the signs suggest they are beginning to return to their early-season form.

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Anthony Martial put in a sparkling display for France whilst Romelu Lukaku scored a couple of goals for Belgium to elevate him to their leading goalscorer, all at the tender age of just 24.
The likes of Nemanja Matic and Antonio Valencia enjoyed a rest and should be fresh to face a Newcastle team who don’t score many goals and should come to defend.
The Toon’s top scorer is Joselu with just two goals to his name. Having watched him play on a regular basis it’s amazing he has as many as that.
Three of Newcastle’s four victories have been by a single goal, while only one of their five defeats was by a margin of more than one. But If United strike in the first half, as expected, then I think this could be a heavy defeat for the Magpies, who will have to come out and play a more expansive game.

I can see Newcastle being hit with late goals, the hallmark of Man United’s early season efforts. United have more than enough  pace and creation in the form Marcus Rashford, Juan Mata, Henrikh Mkhitaryan and Romelu Lukaku to smash through Newcastle’s defences and when they do – they’ll go for blood.
We will be buying goal minutes at 145 with Spreadex, our preferred spread betting firm.
This means aggregate minutes of the match are added up. So if goals are scored in the 45th, 73rd and 78th minutes the market settles at 156.

GERMANY TO SHOW GULF IN CLASS

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A friendly between England and Germany and poor old Gareth Southgate has been hit with more withdrawals than a Las Vegas cashpoint.

So far, Raheem Sterling, Fabian Delph, Jordan Henderson, Harry Kane, Dele Alli and Harry Winks have all declared themselves unavailable for Friday’s friendly against Germany. Doubtless all will miraculously recover for the next round of Premier League fixtures on November 18.

Still, there’s something intriguing about an England v Germany match even if England’s most memorable result against the old enemy was recorded a mere 51 years ago.

The rivalry has always been intense, competitive and keenly contested. Let’s face it, we’ve always got on well with the Germans – apart from those two World Wars.

Germany are so successful when it comes to football there seems no reason not to follow the German model, although when I tried it she did take out a restraining order against me. They say Germans don’t have a sense of humour but when it comes to football they don’t need one.

England, on the other hand, would have their hands full even if the likes of Harry Kane and Raheem Sterling weren’t nursing pretend injuries. The visitors are currently on an unbeaten streak of 19 matches.

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Die Mannschaft, a terrible way to go I should imagine, cruised through World Cup qualifying with typical Germanic efficiency, a perfect record of 10 wins from 10 matches, scoring 43 goals and conceding just four.

It’s never easy to gauge how hard each team will be trying when it comes to friendlies and whether the respective coaches will be experimenting with formations, personnel and strategies. Not that any of those things are typically associated with England teams.

England have won 17 of their last 19 at Wembley, but most of those victories have come against lowly ranked countries. They have only won one of their last five home friendlies against teams that have ranked in the world’s top-10.

In short we’re flat track bullies and when we come up against bigger and better opposition, we crumble.

Germany should be bought at 48.8 to win the match with Spreadex. The market makes up at 100 if Germany win, but 0 if England win or the game is drawn. Only bet what you can afford as anything can happen in sport!

England are putting out a severely weakened team against a well-oiled winning machine. The gulf in class should be apparent by the end of the match and reflected in the score.

 

Arsenal Can Upset The Odds

ONE of the biggest myths in the world was that old line that used to do the rounds about the Premier League being the best in the world.

It’s a bigger myth than adult supervision. My eyesight has got decidedly worse the older I’ve got. In fact, so has everything.

But then I suppose you can’t knock Sky Sports for billing November 5th as ‘Super Sunday.’

Man City take on Arsenal and Chelsea play host to Manchester United, not forgetting Spurs v Palace and Everton v Watford.

Actually, you can forget about those other two matches.

The match that catches my eye from a betting perspective is the one at the Etihad.

See the latest City v Arsenal betting odds here from our preferred spread betting firm Spreadex.

City are on a fantastic run of form that has seen them win 14 straight games in all competitions, their most recent victory a brilliant win against Italian table-toppers Napoli in the Champions League.

During their 14-match win streak they have out-scored the opposition 46-11, averaging a handy three goals per game.

Unsurprisingly, the bookies have chalked the Citizens up as strong favourites to beat the Gunners – and that could play right into our hands.

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City will have returned from a tough trip to Italy a little jaded whereas most of Arsenal’s first team will have been afforded a rest from Europa League exertions.

Pep Guardiola’s team have faced Premier League opposition who have all deployed similar tactics – sit deep and hope for the best.

Arsenal have players who are equally comfortable in possession and will be more than prepared to fight fire with fire.

The Gunners stuck five goals past Everton two weeks ago and followed that up last week by beating Swansea to put themselves on the brink of the top four.

They have won six of their last seven matches, the other being a draw against Chelsea.

Not bad form for a team priced up as rank underdogs.

Key men Alexis Sanchez, Mesut Ozil, Alexandre Laccazette all look likely to be rested and refreshed for this one – and are capable of causing any opponent problems.

You never know with these things. In fact, I never know with most things.

But I just feel, despite City’s superb form, Arsenal are being written off. They are generously priced to cause an upset and there’s a huge upside if they do triumph.

I will be buying Arsenal to win the match at 12.5 with Spreadex.

The market makes up to 100 so if Arsenal do win you’d make a whopping 87.5 times your stake.

Remember, only bet what you can afford!

AJ To Take His Time With Takam

The British heavyweight division used to have a bad reputation stateside.

And by ‘bad reputation’ I mean ‘laughing stock’. The criticism levelled by our American cousins was that our big boys were upright, immobile and very easy to hit. That was early on in a fight, later they become horizontal, immobile and even easier to hit.

The only department you couldn’t fault British heavyweights in was their heaviness. In appearance they looked like defrocked club bouncers, indeed that is exactly what most of them were. That’s why they were so aggressive in the opening rounds, it’s because the other guy was wearing trainers.

That was then; this is now.

Anthony Joshua is practically a licence to print money. In fact, if you’re name is Eddie Hearn he’s exactly that. Young, athletic with a body Adonis would be proud of – and a role model to boot.

AJ is selling out stadiums wherever he fights against whoever he fights – even against a French Cameroonian nobody has heard of – no offence Carlos thingamyjig.

Can Carlos Takam shock the world and best Joshua? Well, anything can happen in the squared circle. Remember, Sylvester Stallone became world champion aged 60, although that was in Rocky 6.

Takam is a tough dude and he’ll need all of that toughness to extend Joshua into the later rounds.

He’s only been stopped once, but that was by Alexander Povetkin in the tenth, and Povetkin doesn’t hit anywhere near as hard as AJ.

This could end at anytime but I’ve a feeling Joshua will feel out his opponent before launching a concussive assault. Takam has the opportunity of a lifetime here and I’m backing him to produce the performance of his life.

If this fight is ended very early it’s sure to upset the PPV audience, already miffed at forking out £19.95, the same price as the Klitschko fight.

I see more of an upside to buying minutes at 14.5 with http://www.spreadex.com
Takam is durable, and if he survives the first few rounds he could well stick around for a whole lot longer.

If he goes the distance you make 21.5 times your stake.