THERE’S no doubt in my mind that Dillian Whyte beats Lucas Browne on Saturday night.
The main question is whether the bout goes to the scorecards or if Whyte finishes his foe inside the distance.
Well, perhaps the more pertinent question is, “what the hell was Browne doing attacking trees with a golf club?”
This extraordinary revelation emerged from a rather eventful episode of The Gloves Are Off, with Browne recounting his habit of tree-bashing as a way of letting off steam in his younger days.
Apparently Lucas’s first introduction to combat sport occured when his father asked him to return the set of clubs he’d lent him.
Browne seems an affable individual – if not the brightest candle on the cake.
If popping down to the chemists and asking for, “the strongest pre-workout you got,” doesn’t sound the smartest move in the world, agreeing to fight Daniel Cormier in his sixth fight MMA fight was an act of downright madness.
Browne would have been better off taking a three wood to the person who convinced him to take on the future UFC Light Heavyweight Champion of the World.
Sadly, no video footage of the fight exists on the Internet. But as you can probably imagine, Cormier ended the fight swiftly, brutally and, entirely predictably, inside the first round.
Whyte was his usual brooding, menacing self when sitting opposite Browne for the informal chat hosted by Johnny Nelson.
Whyte does seem to be a person in a perpetual state of anger. His tombstone will probably read, “What Are You Looking At?”
If Brixton is a tough neighbourhood to grow up, then Whyte’s househould appears to be an even more hazardous zone.
Whyte revealed he still regularly settles disputes with his 6’7” brother by way of bareknuckle fight instead of, for example, reasoned argument.
If there is a third, younger, smaller brother in the Whyte family, my heart goes out to him.
But let’s get back to the original question – how does Whyte win the fight?
I pretty much always side with the better boxer when it comes to a boxing match and in terms of ability Whyte is streets ahead of his opponent. The 1-3 about him ending victorious, in my opinion, is still decent value.
But you don’t get fat backing 1-3 shots and that’s why the clever money (and mine) will be going on Whtye to win by KO, TKO or disqualification, at a surprisingly beefy 5-2.
Browne is putting all his faith in a KO and believes he has 36 minutes to land one bout-ending blow on Whyte’s chin.
Browne looks like he’s spent more time pumping weights than working on his cardio with this strategy in mind.
By his own admission, Browne’s not the best boxer on the planet and at the age of 38 he’s not going to get any better. His chances of winning depend almost entirely on landing a big shot early in the contest.
I don’t believe he will be able to live with Whyte’s workrate and as Browne’s tank empties the Brixton man will take brutal advantage.
The best name on Browne’s resume is Ruslan Chagaev, even though the Russian was 37 and way past his best it’s still a good victory. Watching the fight back, Browne actually displays decent footwork, as well as a few choice uppercuts.
He looked a lot lighter though, and it’s worth remembering he was floored and practically out on his feet at the end of round six, before being saved by the bell.
That scrap was two years ago and the subsequent inactivity won’t have helped his cause. A ‘keep busy’ fight last summer against Matthew Greer would have done him little good. Greer had lost more fights than he’d won and was blown away in two rounds.
Whyte looks in the shape of his life, hits plenty hard enough himself, (let’s not forget he wobbled AJ ) and has wide variety of punches in his arsenal.
Dillian got his tactics all wrong when he chose to brawl rather than box Dereck Chisora. I’ve no doubt if a rematch were to be made, he’d win handily.
Whyte failed to impress in a subsequent fight against the durable Robert Helenius and the South London man knows he needs win in style against Browne to set up a potential big money match up with Deontay Wilder.
You can buy Whyte’s performance at 28 with Spreadex. This means, if he wins by KO, TKO or disqualification you make 22 times your stake.
If he wins on points you lose three times your stake and if he loses, well, you say goodbye to 28 times your stake.
Remember, only bet what you can afford to lose.