WHERE is the best midweek value bet in the Premier League I hear you ask…
It was a weekend which saw Chelsea, Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester United drop points in the title race, a title race that saw Manchester City slip 11 points clear of the pack.
Start engraving the trophy now. The rest of the ‘Big Six’ are fighting for a spot in the top four.
Chelsea (2-5), Spurs (1-4), Liverpool (2-9) and Man United (2-7) are all priced up at prohibitive odds as they take on Premier League fodder in Huddersfield, Brighton, West Brom and Bournemouth.
It’d be a shock if any of the above fail to win but I feel the best value of all the midweek matches may well lie with Arsenal, who are very reasonably priced at 4-6 to beat West Ham in the fixed odds betting.
The Hammers have shown enormous improvement under David Moyes, notably their narrow defeat to Champions elect, City and a hard fought victory over Chelsea at the weekend.
Arsenal were admittedly disappointing this weekend against Southampton, however against Man United the weekend before I thought they were sensational going forward, carving out an incredible 33 shots on goal. They may have lost 1-3, but for the brilliance of David De Gea and some terrible individual errors in their own backline, things could have turned out differently.
I feel the Gunners will soon put in the sort of performance on the road that they did at Goodison Park, where they put five past Everton. West Ham could well bear the brunt of the backlash for Arsenal’s disappointing performance against Southampton.
Given that the Gunners look far from secure at the back, the bet to exploit looks like the ‘over/under 2.5 goals market’.
Spreadex go 52.3-60 in this market. The market makes up at 100, meaning that if you buy at 60 you can make 40 times your stake. Conversely you can also lose 60 times your stake so make sure you only bet what you can afford.
I can see goals in this one, particularly if Arsenal score first as it will mean West Ham will be forced to commit players forward and leave themselves vulnerable to Arsenal’s quick-fire, precise passing counter attacks.